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THE INSTITUTE OF STRATEGIC STUDIES AND ANALYSIS (ISSA) was founded in 2000 on the basis of the analytical centre functioning since 1995. The board of directors and the staff of the Institute consist of prominent experts in the field of internal, external, geostrategic and military policy, economy, modern history and law. Most of them have a wide experience of government service in high posts. Scientists in various fields of knowledge from country's largest academic centres are working with ISSA on a contract basis on analytical and forecast materials of strategic nature.
The ISSA with support from Group of companies "N-Trans" and Bureau of social-economic information publishes the "Vestnik Analitiki" ("Analytical messenger") journal (editor-in-chief V.Guseynov) which comes 4 times a year. Members of the editorial board are prominent state- and public figures, economists and politologists: Mikhail Delyagin, Yury Poroykov, Sergey Karaganov, Andrey Kokoshin, Nikolay Mikhailov, Alexander Nazarchuk, Alexey Pushkov, Alexander Rahr (Germany), Vladimir Ryzhkov, Leonid Slutsky, Andrey Fedorov, Alexander Tsipko.
"The main task of the Institute of Strategic Studies and Analysis is to prepare and provide information, which allows our clients in state structures and business community to take correct decisions in due time. Highly skilled and seasoned staff, modern techniques of preparation and submission of materials allow us to state that we work in accordance with the new standard adequate to expectations of our clients ".
The director of ISSA |
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1 (4-2009)
RUSSIA’S DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY: THOUGHTS INDUCED BY THE CRISIS
AUTHORS: Pavlova Maria
1. Today, the demographic problem is one of the most important and urgent: the history would have probably gave us no other chance to remedy the bad situation, if the time were to be lost in vain. To Russia, the crisis is a chance to reconsider its goals and priorities. We already have no, and we will not have, any financial opportunity to attend the demographic situation, using the ‘scientific’ hit-and-miss method. Indeed, we have no time left to go on with such reckless experimenting. 2. Russia still has a real potential to increase the birth rate. However, the study proved, the willingness to have a baby depends to a large extent on the attitudes of the primary group, i.e. the immediate environment. The housing provision is slightly less influential: to solve this problem would give in future far more tangible effect compared to plain money payments. Today, however, it is precisely money (the mother capital, the parturient woman certificate, etc.) that the government use to stimulate birth rate. The study accumulated many a convincing and obvious data to prove the inconsistency of the policy to revive the traditional institution of marriage: the mere fact of official registration has no impact whatsoever on a woman’s desire to get a child. 3. In the long run, the government would be more financially wise to channel the funds that had been spent on current programs of birth rate stimulation into development of the infrastructure needed by parents and children, for insufficient equipment of children's polyclinics, underdevelopment of the public leisure-time establishments for children network, lacking nunneries and kindergartens – these most essential barriers along the way of increasing birth rate. 4. In the situation as it is now, the problem cannot be attended one-sidedly, it is systematic work in all directions what is needed. Physicists, back in the Soviet time, worked out the unorthodox method of solving complex problems with interdependent elements, the method of consecutive approach. According to it, it is useless to try to completely overcome the interrelated troubles one by one or step by step; what is needed is to gradually, consistently reduce some difficulty at a time, thus steadily reaching the goal. It goes without saying, the method requires the goal to be perceived distinctly - as well as the initial conditions.
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2 (2-2009)
GEOPOLITICS AT WORK: THE RUSSIAN-GEORGIAN CONFLICT
AUTHORS: Peter Schultze (Germany)
1. As the conflict in the South Ossetia proved, the policy of balancing on the brink of war Saakashvili used in his relations with the rebellious regions has gone in the past forever. Still, the Kremlin has not met its major goal in this war as well – the war was not resulted in Saakashili overthrowing. Besides, it became obvious that the completion of the "hot" stage of the conflict would be followed with the West’s making everything possible to protect Tbilisi against the threat from outside. 2. To prove its right to carry out some independent policy Moscow needed a convincing victory, an impressive move towards any the CIS member-state, even under the condition of unpredictability of the reaction on the part of the West. Russia were to demonstrate to these states that the USA would be of no help to them, while Russia, having overcome its many-year disregard of the international problems, was willing to stand for its interests within the post-Soviet space. 3. The Caucasian conflict has also shown the geopolitical possibilities of the three major players, the EU, Russia, and the USA. At their dramatic divergences in motivations and interests, the behavior of the parties during the conflict predetermined to some degree those changes in the world alignment of forces that give ground to some suggestions on how the multi-polar world is to come functioning in the future, at least, as far as the European dimension is concerned.
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3 (2-2009)
THE FAMINE
AUTHORS: Paulman Valery (Estonia)
1. More people die of starvation not because of short-term food stuff missing, but because of long-term underfeeding brought in by poverty. That is, indeed, the true reason of starvation death of millions people! Poverty and famine are inseparably put into irons which, at least, a billion people have to carry today, that is, each the sixth human-being on the Earth. And half of the planet’s populace have no balanced dietary intake containing necessary nourishments to live healthy valuable life, that, certainly, affects their physical and intellectual development. 2. Inequality of income distribution existed, since the early days of civilization, when man by man exploitation came into existence. And this truth is known to everybody for a long time. Hence, there was a purely practical conclusion: to put an end to the famine it is necessary to eliminate the social regime when some men exploit others. Private property on the means of production is to be terminated, except for that which serves one’s own work. But solving this everlasting problem which belongs to the economic sphere is being hampered by the political problem. 3. So, if to be separated from unneeded verbal chaff, the true reasons for growing foodstuffs scarcity are exposed - the US currency policy; structural changes in agricultural crops production in favor of the ethanol, strengthened by corresponding stimulating financial levers under the conditions of tight domestic food markets in the developed countries; and, of course, speculative operations in a rush for the maximal profit.
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