1.The 2005-06 general elections in Iraq and the forming-up of the national government that followed gave the George Bush administration some ground to optimistically assess the outcome of their military and political campaign in that country then. But, since the Spring 2006, the situation in Iraq became to deteriorate badly: there were daily acts of violence by Iraqi and foreign terrorists against the local population; intensified clashes between the Shiite militias and Sunni Arab insurgency; sharp increase in the number of US military casualties, all these made Iraq plunged into abyss of chaos.
2.The Bush plan may become some sort of a trap for the Democrats, considering the majority of the Democratic party leadership had favored the invasion in Iraq some time in the past, while now they actually call for capitulation, by recklessly and hastily moving the troops out. The issue might split the Democratic camp into 'toughs' and 'defeatists', it was quite recently when Hilary Clinton and John Kerri abstained from calling for immediate US military withdrawal from Iraq, trying to gain some points on the eve of elections.
3.By proclaiming the new deal policy to settle the situation in Iraq, Bush tried to convince the Americans that the problem is the national one, rather than a miscalculation made by the Republicans and neo-conservatives. Among all other things, his plan, be it successful in the smallest degree, would give more chance for the Republican nominee for the 2008 presidency. The current US President, though, by making his plan public, which is contrary to the Democratic majority statements and is at variance with the strengthening rejection of the war within the American society, is undoubtedly going risky, for the possibility of a collapse is very high.